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  1. Epidemics and adaptive behavior as a coupled-human natural system : trust and response to the 2014-15 ebola epidemic in Liberia

    Arthur, Ronan Forde
    [Stanford, California] : [Stanford University], 2019.

    Infectious diseases and the human response to their proliferation are components of a coupled human-natural system, characterized by complex interactions and dynamics. How humans react to infectious disease crises is a critical component of understanding how epidemics work, but we often neglect its consideration in our predictive modeling or empirical measurements. In this dissertation, we introduce a mathematical model that displays complex dynamic patterns from simple assumptions about the nature of epidemics and human adaptation; an empirical study in Liberia on perceptions of trust in government actions during the 2014-15 Ebola epidemic, and qualitative results from a set of nine focus-group discussions about how people weighed trust and behavior decisions during the Ebola epidemic in Liberia.

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